| It has long been known by geologists that the | | | | oil reaches a maximum and then starts to |
| world's oil supply is finite. Oil is not a | | | | decline. It can be diagrammed as a bell |
| renewable resource and it is found in | | | | shaped curve with a peak at the top. |
| relatively limited geological environments | | | | |
| around the world. This is the subject of | | | | Hubbert then turned his calculations on world |
| Beyond Oil, The View from Hubbert's Peak, by | | | | oil production and supply. His methods worked |
| Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Professor Emeritus at | | | | the same way predicting the world oil supply |
| Princeton University published in 2005, (202 | | | | as they did with the United States supply. |
| pages, hardcover, Hill & Wang). | | | | Essentially, world oil production peaked |
| | | | early in the 21st century according to |
| In general oil is found in a zone called the | | | | Hubbert. |
| oil horizon located between 7,500 feet and | | | | |
| 15,000 feet below the surface in organic rich | | | | Professor Deffeyes worked with M. King |
| sedimentary formations. Deeper than that, the | | | | Hubbert, and explains in detail the process |
| temperature of the rock is too hot for oil | | | | that Hubbert used to make these predictions. |
| molecules to stay together, and above that | | | | He discusses both oil and natural gas and the |
| the hydrocarbons are not heated enough to | | | | implications of being on the downward side of |
| separate into crude oil. Sandstone, dolomite | | | | Hubbert's Peak. While Hubbert used some very |
| and limestone form virtually all the host | | | | complex mathematics in his initial |
| rock for oil production in the world and | | | | calculations, Professor Deffeyes explains |
| comprise only about 1% of the world's rock | | | | Hubbert's calculations using relatively |
| formations. In addition, specific geologic | | | | simple mathematics. In fact, simple algebra |
| structures are required to trap the oil. | | | | forms the basis of his analysis and it is |
| According to Professor Deffeyes, seven | | | | understandable to many with a basis in high |
| specific criteria are required for oil to be | | | | school mathematics. |
| present in a particular location. Without any | | | | |
| one of these criteria, oil is not present, | | | | There is a lot of information and |
| period. | | | | disinformation about renewable energy. This |
| | | | book discusses many of today's energy sources |
| While Saudi Arabia has the largest annual | | | | and those of the foreseeable future. It |
| production of oil, the United States and | | | | dispels many of the myths and disinformation |
| Russia are second and third place according | | | | about energy so glibly passed around by a |
| to Deffeyes. Saudi Arabia has 1,560 producing | | | | largely uninformed public, self serving |
| wells, Russia 41,192 wells and the United | | | | political leaders and a media hungry for |
| States has 521,070. The United States is one | | | | ratings. |
| of the most drilled and explored places in | | | | |
| the world. | | | | Because oil has played such a large part of |
| | | | the world's economy, it is in everyone's best |
| Between 1901 and 2005, oil use and production | | | | interest to become informed about energy |
| consistently increased, first in the United | | | | supplies and sources. Energy fuels such as |
| States and then in the world. In 1956, M. | | | | coal, geothermal, uranium and many of the |
| King Hubbert, American geologist and | | | | so-called alternative energy sources all will |
| geophysicist, predicted the United States oil | | | | be impacted by the declining amount of oil |
| production would peak and then start to | | | | available on the downward side of the peak |
| decline by the early 1970s. When his | | | | oil curve. This book is a must read for |
| predictions came true, Hubbert became an | | | | anyone interested in learning more than the |
| instant folk hero among energy | | | | common platitudes about energy and, in |
| conservationists. This became known as Peak | | | | particular, oil. |
| Oil or the point when annual production of | | | | |